Почему Россия не Швейцария?

 
Новогодние мечты и фантазии или что нас ждет в четвертичном периоде...

 
Фантазия – единственное наше оружие в борьбе с реальностью.
А. Эйнштейн
В канун Нового года редакция снова нашла нужным обратиться к нашему внештатному политическому обозревателю, большому другу редакции, пенсионеру Виктору Межлумяну.
«КВ»: - Виктор Григорьевич, с наступающим Новым Годом! Всё ж уходящий Огненный год Петуха так и не клюнул Россию в зад, не разбудил от гипнотического сна, вопреки вашим ожиданиям. Вы ведь этого хотели?
В.Межлумян: - Приветствую тебя, Евгений. Наилучшие пожелания твоей семье и редакции в Новом году! Вообще-то год Огненного Петуха кончается 18 февраля. Так что ещё не вечер... Если в основе ожиданий предчувствие, то это уже не плод фантазии и воображения. Какая будет Россия при Путине, моё предчувствие подсказало в апреле 2000-го года, в публикации Новой Камчатской Правды «Не поступиться будущим», где открытым текстом проводилась мысль: чем больше в сейфах накоплено компромата на того или иного кандидата, тем больший портфель ему доверит новый президент. А правду о России мы будем узнавать лишь из Швейцарского суда.
«КВ»: - Как же, был знаком с редактором той газеты Владиславом Гусевым. Светлая голова и светлая ему память. Компромат в сейфе - известные методы вербовки КГБ, выросшие их практики большевиков и КПСС по расстановке и управлению кадрами. А люди с портфелями тоже присаживаются в тюрьму. Взять того же УЛЮКАЕВА... Так я не понял, что же вы ожидаете до 18 февраля?
В.Межлумян: - Ожидаю много работы для журналистов и твоей редакции тоже. Предчувствие подсказывает переосмысление всего прошедшего периода с начала 21-го века. Так что, побереги сотрудников с творческими способностями.
«КВ»: - Полагаете, выборы Путина вернутся на круги своя и превратятся в бурный процесс выбора нового президента Всея Руси?
В.Межлумян: - Предчувствие подсказывает, что бурления масс не произойдёт, живём де-факто в сильном государстве, а чтобы в этом не было даже сомнения, создана Росгвардия. И подавалось это как сохранение незыблемости государства. Комментарии излишни. Если будет второй тур выборов, а такое предчувствие есть, то не сомневайтесь: Путин пустит в ход весь арсенал своей гибкой и утончённой тактики и сумеет договориться с претендентом - и о смене экономического курса, и большей части правительства, тут же предложит его возглавить.
«КВ»: - Так вот почему Путин не спешит менять Медведева?
В.Межлумян: - Отнюдь! Уж точно, ставит его дальнейшую карьеру в зависимость от того, сможет ли друг предотвратить второй тур. Если сможет, поработает ещё некоторое время, но по примеру Б. Ельцина передаст свой пост более преданному человеку из числа силовиков, предварительно поставив его на пост председателя правительства РФ.
«КВ»: - Ну и правильно: народ требует твёрдой руки и во внутреннем контуре управления. Во внешнем он себя обозначил. Ну, а если всё-таки будет второй тур согласно вашему предчувствию?..
В.Межлумян: - Возможно, будет! Второй раз обещаний и указов по удвоению пенсий и 25 миллионов высококвалифицированных рабочих мест за очередной срок не прокатит. Да и риторика сменилась на «нужно», «надо» - направления мысли без конкретики.
«КВ»: - По-вашему кандидат на второй тур в лице П. Грудинина от КПРФ не проект политтехнологов Кремля, в отличии от В.Жириновского и той же Ксении из «Дома-2»?
В.Межлумян: - Скорее, это головная боль Кремля. Новогодние каникулы отменяются.
«КВ»: - Если всё так и будет, то Путину не откажешь в тактическом таланте. Разумеется, Медведев, возглавляя кабинет министров и партию власти, сделает всё, чтобы рассеять потенциальный электорат Грудинина. Путину останется лишь наблюдать, как он победит.
В.Межлумян: - С исполнением приказов у нас какой-то демократический перекос. Во внутреннем контуре управления страной у президента в последнее время не прослеживается вертикаль исполнительской дисциплины.
«КВ»: - А что в этом плане прибавит Грудинин, успешный управленец агрофирмы под названием «Совхоз им. Ленина»?
В.Межлумян: - Управление госкомпаниями во главе с нынешними и будущими олигархами В.Путин, уж точно, оставит за собой. Новому главе кабинета министров он готов отдать лишь аграрные вопросы, обрабатывающие отрасли, социальные вопросы, чтобы набил шишки. Причём, потребует быстрых результатов, натравив всю подкремлёвскую журналистскую рать. Потом не вопрос задвинуть этого «новенького» на тёпленькое место, как и Фрадкова и Зубкова. Кто их теперь помнит?
«КВ»: - Гигорич, с вашими предчувствиями трудно не согласиться. Пытливый обыватель знает, что после Путина страной олигархов будет управлять Сергей Шойгу.
В.Межлумян: - Сергей Кужугетович Шойгу. Пора учиться выговаривать!
«КВ»: - Для губернаторов - не вопрос. А как к этому отнесутся олигархи?
В.Межлумян: - А что тут думать, кто не успел перевести свой капитал за бугор, тот вовсе не опоздал, но ему придётся устраивать хорошую рыбалку.
«КВ»: - Григорич, от Нового года каждый с детства ждёт чуда. А если его ждать уже не приходится? К примеру, как многим пенсионерам нашей страны? К тому же, сколь их обрадует индексация в 3,7%?
В.Межлумян: - Спасибо, Евгений, что замолвили слово о старшем поколении. В прошлом году обсуждали с тобой, как пенсионерам заморочили голову подачкой в 5 тысяч, заморозив годовую индексацию. В последующие годы, благодаря такому трюку, пенсионер потеряет гораздо больше. А в год, когда рубль в отношении других валют рухнул более чем в два раза, покупательная способность рубля снизилась как минимум на 40-50%. Росстат при этом зафиксировал инфляцию лишь в 13%, а новоявленный граф Шувалов предлагает индексировать пенсии на 8%, Путин, как бы щёлкнув его по носу, принял царское решение индексировать на 11%.
«КВ»: - Работающим пенсионерам и вовсе заморозили индексацию до момента прекращения трудового контракта.
В.Межлумян: - Фактически - до гробовой доски. После выборов можно смело увеличивать возраст выхода на пенсию.
«КВ»: - Зато Россия вышла на стабильную полочку инфляции, что-то меньше 3%. Невиданно!
В.Межлумян: - Манипуляции с инфляцией ничем не отличаются от ловкости рук напёрсточников. Эти игрища с народом происходит периодически. В этом вся суть управления Россией последние четверть века - от Гайдара. Делается обвал рубля, резко поднимаются цены, прилавок наполняется. Как только народ привыкает к новым ценам (а куда денешься?), происходит новый виток обвала рубля, чтобы народ не расслаблялся.
«КВ»: - С приходом Кудрина это закрепили в так называемое Бюджетное Правило. Медведев теоретика выпинал, но Правило осталось.
В.Межлумян: - Так и есть. А что было ожидать, если вся вертикаль власти формировалась не по уровню профессиональности? Если бы Путин перекрыл им вывоз капитала из страны, можно было аплодировать.
«КВ»: - Не стоит упрощать. После ухода Путина страна ещё и пожалеет об этом.
В.Межлумян: - Для этого ему нужно было уйти раньше. Смена губернаторов пачками практически ничего не меняет. Уровень коррупции столь велик, что уже через полгода всё повторяется с выходом на новый виток.
«КВ»: - Грустно вашими прогнозами мы провожаем старый год. Но, согласись, Григорич, рейтинг Путина ошеломляющий. Народ верит в национального лидера! А если пройдут выборы, и в своём «четвертичном» периоде Путин под занавес прижмёт олигархов с помощью Росгвардии, а пенсии в России сравняются со швейцарскими?
В.Межлумян: - Полагаю, голосуя за Путина, электорат ставит не на мажор, а на минор. И самое главный минор - лишь бы не было войны. На самом деле политтехнологи Кремля уже сильно запугали электорат. Наш ядерный щит, который был завершён уже в середине 70-х, с тех пор не позволяет ни одной стране, начиная с США, даже в мыслях держать нападение на нашу страну. Под Новый год не время упражняться в цифрах, но они внушительные даже сейчас, после того, как мы только тем и занимались, что уничтожали избыточные боеголовки и каждый год в течение 20 лет отправляли в Америку 25 тонн высоко обогащённого урана. Из 44 тысяч боеголовок порезали практически половину, в каждой по 25 кг этого урана. Громадные затраты страны в период холодной войны и гонки в стратегических потенциалах взаимного уничтожения.
«КВ»: - История известная. В России тогда был бум приватизации базовой экономики.
В.Межлумян: - Согласен. Уж точно, банкиры Америки дополнительно к кредитам под низкие проценты вступали ещё и в сделку по приватизации нашей сырьевой базы, да так, что уже в 90-х Госдума провела закон об ограничении чужого капитала в наших фонда в пределах 25%.
«КВ»: - Григорич, полагаете электорату мажора от Путина в очередной раз не следует ждать? Пенсии как в Швейцарии лишь в фантастическом сне могут присниться, несмотря на то, что именно их концепция легла в основу пенсионной реформы 2002 года?
В.Межлумян: - Для мажора пенсионеров, и не только, достаточно конфисковать все зарубежные активы, пассивы, яхты, дворцы и замки у десятка абрамовичей. К примеру, в последнюю пятницу по традиции проходила тайная вечеря олигархов в Кремле. На этот раз их было 40, с общим капиталом, сравнимым с бюджетом страны. При этом Абрамович не посчитал нужным явиться, а Чубайс предпочёл не нарушать свой отпуск.
«КВ»: - Суммарный капитал присутствующих в Кремле олигархов лишь вершина айсберга их деклараций. Их основные капиталы скорее работают на Швейцарию, чем на Россию.
В.Межлумян: - Не сомневаюсь. Но это ещё и заслуга Швейцарии и её граждан. Думаю, их предновогодние фантазии куда более приземлённые. Чтобы под Новый год получить чудо для себя, своих детей и внуков, они уповают ни к Богу, ни к президенту, а надеются лишь на себя. Кстати, на последнем референдуме по пенсиям они проголосовали против увеличения взноса в социальную часть пенсий при одновременном уменьшении накопительной части. Пример реальной демократии. Но при этом и реальная ответственность. К примеру, в 2016 году они проголосовали против гарантированного безусловного дохода в 2500 франков в месяц. Это порядка 150 тыс. руб. Просто посчитали, что подвергнут бюджет страны риску.
«КВ»: - Григорич, наш электорат на такие референдумы однозначно бы прибежал, даже с похмелья, и проголосовал с точностью до наоборот.
В.Межлумян: - В этом вся разница между Россией и Швейцарией.
«КВ»: - Григорич, а что интуиция политобозревателя ожидает от года Жёлтой Собаки?
В.Межлумян: - До 18 февраля дожить ещё надо. Доживём, тогда и поговорим.
«КВ»: - Хорошо, условились. А пока пожелаем читателям счастливого Нового года!

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